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Algorithmic Trading

A place for redditors to discuss quantitative trading, statistical methods, econometrics, programming, implementation, automated strategies, and bounce ideas off each other for constructive criticism. Feel free to submit papers/links of things you find interesting.
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Some trading wisdom, tools and information I picked up along the way that helped me be a better trader. Maybe it can help you too.

Its a bit lengthy and I tried to condense it as much as I can. So take everything at a high level as each subject is has a lot more depth but fundamentally if you distill it down its just taking simple things and applying your experience using them to add nuance and better deploy them.
There are exceptions to everything that you will learn with experience or have already learned. If you know something extra or something to add to it to implement it better or more accurately. Then great! However, my intention of this post is just a high level overview. Trading can be far too nuanced to go into in this post and would take forever to type up every exception (not to mention the traders individual personality). If you take the general information as a starting point, hopefully you will learn the edge cases long the way and learn how to use the more effectively if you end up using them. I apologize in advice for any errors or typos.
Introduction After reflecting on my fun (cough) trading journey that was more akin to rolling around on broken glass and wondering if brown glass will help me predict market direction better than green glass. Buying a $100 indicator at 2 am when I was acting a fool, looking at it and going at and going "This is a piece of lagging crap, I miss out on a large part of the fundamental move and never using it for even one trade". All while struggling with massive over trading and bad habits because I would get bored watching a single well placed trade on fold for the day. Also, I wanted to get rich quick.
On top all of that I had a terminal Stage 4 case of FOMO on every time the price would move up and then down then back up. Just think about all those extra pips I could have trading both directions as it moves across the chart! I can just sell right when it goes down, then buy right before it goes up again. Its so easy right? Well, turns out it was not as easy as I thought and I lost a fair chunk of change and hit my head against the wall a lot until it clicked. Which is how I came up with a mixed bag of things that I now call "Trade the Trade" which helped support how I wanted to trade so I can still trade intra day price action like a rabid money without throwing away all my bananas.
Why Make This Post? - Core Topic of Discussion I wish to share a concept I came up with that helped me become a reliable trader. Support the weakness of how I like to trade. Also, explaining what I do helps reinforce my understanding of the information I share as I have to put words to it and not just use internalized processes. I came up with a method that helped me get my head straight when trading intra day.
I call it "Trade the Trade" as I am making mini trades inside of a trade setup I make from analysis on a higher timeframe that would take multiple days to unfold or longer. I will share information, principles, techniques I used and learned from others I talked to on the internet (mixed bag of folks from armatures to professionals, and random internet people) that helped me form a trading style that worked for me. Even people who are not good at trading can say something that might make it click in your head so I would absorbed all the information I could get.I will share the details of how I approach the methodology and the tools in my trading belt that I picked up by filtering through many tools, indicators strategies and witchcraft. Hopefully you read something that ends up helping you be a better trader. I learned a lot from people who make community posts so I wanted to give back now that I got my ducks in a row.
General Trading Advice If your struggling finding your own trading style, fixing weakness's in it, getting started, being reliably profitable or have no framework to build yourself higher with, hopefully you can use the below advice to help provide some direction or clarity to moving forward to be a better trader.
  1. KEEP IT SIMPLE. Do not throw a million things on your chart from the get go or over analyzing what the market is doing while trying to learn the basics. Tons of stuff on your chart can actually slow your learning by distracting your focus on all your bells and whistles and not the price action.
  2. PRICE ACTION. Learn how to read price action. Not just the common formations, but larger groups of bars that form the market structure. Those formations carry more weight the higher the time frame they form on. If struggle to understand what is going on or what your looking at, move to a higher time frame.
  3. INDICATORS. If you do use them you should try to understand how every indicator you use calculates its values. Many indicators are lagging indicators, understanding how it calculates the values can help you learn how to identify the market structure before the indicator would trigger a signal . This will help you understand why the signal is a lagged signal. If you understand that you can easily learn to look at the price action right before the signal and learn to watch for that price action on top of it almost trigging a signal so you can get in at a better position and assume less downside risk. I recommend using no more than 1-2 indicators for simplicity, but your free to use as many as you think you think you need or works for your strategy/trading style.
  4. PSYCOLOGY. First, FOMO is real, don't feed the beast. When you trade you should always have an entry and exit. If you miss your entry do not chase it, wait for a new entry. At its core trading is gambling and your looking for an edge against the house (the other market participants). With that in mind, treat as such. Do not risk more than you can afford to lose. If you are afraid to lose it will negatively effect your trade decisions. Finally, be honest with your self and bad trading happens. No one is going to play trade cop and keep you in line, that's your job.
  5. TRADE DECISION MARKING: Before you enter any trade you should have an entry and exit area. As you learn price action you will get better entries and better exits. Use a larger zone and stop loss at the start while learning. Then you can tighten it up as you gain experience. If you do not have a area you wish to exit, or you are entering because "the markets looking like its gonna go up". Do not enter the trade. Have a reason for everything you do, if you cannot logically explain why then you probably should not be doing it.
  6. ROBOTS/ALGOS: Loved by some, hated by many who lost it all to one, and surrounded by scams on the internet. If you make your own, find a legit one that works and paid for it or lost it all on a crappy one, more power to ya. I do not use robots because I do not like having a robot in control of my money. There is too many edge cases for me to be ok with it.However, the best piece of advice about algos was that the guy had a algo/robot for each market condition (trending/ranging) and would make personalized versions of each for currency pairs as each one has its own personality and can make the same type of movement along side another currency pair but the price action can look way different or the move can be lagged or leading. So whenever he does his own analysis and he sees a trend, he turns the trend trading robot on. If the trend stops, and it starts to range he turns the range trading robot on. He uses robots to trade the market types that he is bad at trading. For example, I suck at trend trading because I just suck at sitting on my hands and letting my trade do its thing.

Trade the Trade - The Methodology

Base Principles These are the base principles I use behind "Trade the Trade". Its called that because you are technically trading inside your larger high time frame trade as it hopefully goes as you have analyzed with the trade setup. It allows you to scratch that intraday trading itch, while not being blind to the bigger market at play. It can help make sense of why the price respects, rejects or flat out ignores support/resistance/pivots.
  1. Trade Setup: Find a trade setup using high level time frames (daily, 4hr, or 1hr time frames). The trade setup will be used as a base for starting to figure out a bias for the markets direction for that day.
  2. Indicator Data: Check any indicators you use (I use Stochastic RSI and Relative Vigor Index) for any useful information on higher timeframes.
  3. Support Resistance: See if any support/resistance/pivot points are in currently being tested/resisted by the price. Also check for any that are within reach so they might become in play through out the day throughout the day (which can influence your bias at least until the price reaches it if it was already moving that direction from previous days/weeks price action).
  4. Currency Strength/Weakness: I use the TradeVision currency strength/weakness dashboard to see if the strength/weakness supports the narrative of my trade and as an early indicator when to keep a closer eye for signs of the price reversing.Without the tool, the same concept can be someone accomplished with fundamentals and checking for higher level trends and checking cross currency pairs for trends as well to indicate strength/weakness, ranging (and where it is in that range) or try to get some general bias from a higher level chart that may help you out. However, it wont help you intra day unless your monitoring the currency's index or a bunch of charts related to the currency.
  5. Watch For Trading Opportunities: Personally I make a mental short list and alerts on TradingView of currency pairs that are close to key levels and so I get a notification if it reaches there so I can check it out. I am not against trading both directions, I just try to trade my bias before the market tries to commit to a direction. Then if I get out of that trade I will scalp against the trend of the day and hold trades longer that are with it.Then when you see a opportunity assume the directional bias you made up earlier (unless the market solidly confirms with price action the direction while waiting for an entry) by trying to look for additional confirmation via indicators, price action on support/resistances etc on the low level time frame or higher level ones like hourly/4hr as the day goes on when the price reaches key areas or makes new market structures to get a good spot to enter a trade in the direction of your bias.Then enter your trade and use the market structures to determine how much of a stop you need. Once your in the trade just monitor it and watch the price action/indicators/tools you use to see if its at risk of going against you. If you really believe the market wont reach your TP and looks like its going to turn against you, then close the trade. Don't just hold on to it for principle and let it draw down on principle or the hope it does not hit your stop loss.
  6. Trade Duration Hold your trades as long or little as you want that fits your personality and trading style/trade analysis. Personally I do not hold trades past the end of the day (I do in some cases when a strong trend folds) and I do not hold trades over the weekends. My TP targets are always places I think it can reach within the day. Typically I try to be flat before I sleep and trade intra day price movements only. Just depends on the higher level outlook, I have to get in at really good prices for me to want to hold a trade and it has to be going strong. Then I will set a slightly aggressive stop on it before I leave. I do know several people that swing trade and hold trades for a long period of time. That is just not a trading style that works for me.
Enhance Your Success Rate Below is information I picked up over the years that helped me enhance my success rate with not only guessing intra day market bias (even if it has not broken into the trend for the day yet (aka pre London open when the end of Asia likes to act funny sometimes), but also with trading price action intra day.
People always say "When you enter a trade have an entry and exits. I am of the belief that most people do not have problem with the entry, its the exit. They either hold too long, or don't hold long enough. With the below tools, drawings, or instruments, hopefully you can increase your individual probability of a successful trade.
**P.S.*\* Your mileage will vary depending on your ability to correctly draw, implement and interpret the below items. They take time and practice to implement with a high degree of proficiency. If you have any questions about how to do that with anything listed, comment below and I will reply as I can. I don't want to answer the same question a million times in a pm.
Tools and Methods Used This is just a high level overview of what I use. Each one of the actions I could go way more in-depth on but I would be here for a week typing something up of I did that. So take the information as a base level understanding of how I use the method or tool. There is always nuance and edge cases that you learn from experience.
Conclusion
I use the above tools/indicators/resources/philosophy's to trade intra day price action that sometimes ends up as noise in the grand scheme of the markets movement.use that method until the price action for the day proves the bias assumption wrong. Also you can couple that with things like Stoch RSI + Relative Vigor Index to find divergences which can increase the probability of your targeted guesses.

Trade Example from Yesterday This is an example of a trade I took today and why I took it. I used the following core areas to make my trade decision.
It may seem like a lot of stuff to process on the fly while trying to figure out live price action but, for the fundamental bias for a pair should already baked in your mindset for any currency pair you trade. For the currency strength/weakness I stare at the dashboard 12-15 hours a day so I am always trying to keep a pulse on what's going or shifts so that's not really a factor when I want to enter as I would not look to enter if I felt the market was shifting against me. Then the higher timeframe analysis had already happened when I woke up, so it was a game of "Stare at the 5 min chart until the price does something interesting"
Trade Example: Today , I went long EUUSD long bias when I first looked at the chart after waking up around 9-10pm Eastern. Fortunately, the first large drop had already happened so I had a easy baseline price movement to work with. I then used tool for currency strength/weakness monitoring, Pivot Points, and bearish divergence detected using Stochastic RSI and Relative Vigor Index.
I first noticed Bearish Divergence on the 1hr time frame using the Stochastic RSI and got confirmation intra day on the 5 min time frame with the Relative Vigor Index. I ended up buying the second mini dip around midnight Eastern because it was already dancing along the pivot point that the price had been dancing along since the big drop below the pivot point and dipped below it and then shortly closed back above it. I put a stop loss below the first large dip. With a TP goal of the middle point pivot line
Then I waited for confirmation or invalidation of my trade. I ended up getting confirmation with Bearish Divergence from the second large dip so I tightened up my stop to below that smaller drip and waited for the London open. Not only was it not a lower low, I could see the divergence with the Relative Vigor Index.
It then ran into London and kept going with tons of momentum. Blew past my TP target so I let it run to see where the momentum stopped. Ended up TP'ing at the Pivot Point support/resistance above the middle pivot line.
Random Note: The Asian session has its own unique price action characteristics that happen regularly enough that you can easily trade them when they happen with high degrees of success. It takes time to learn them all and confidently trade them as its happening. If you trade Asia you should learn to recognize them as they can fake you out if you do not understand what's going on.

TL;DR At the end of the day there is no magic solution that just works. You have to find out what works for you and then what people say works for them. Test it out and see if it works for you or if you can adapt it to work for you. If it does not work or your just not interested then ignore it.
At the end of the day, you have to use your brain to make correct trading decisions. Blindly following indicators may work sometimes in certain market conditions, but trading with information you don't understand can burn you just as easily as help you. Its like playing with fire. So, get out there and grind it out. It will either click or it wont. Not everyone has the mindset or is capable of changing to be a successful trader. Trading is gambling, you do all this work to get a edge on the house. Trading without the edge or an edge you understand how to use will only leave your broker happy in the end.
submitted by marcusrider to Forex [link] [comments]

Weekly Wrap: This Week In Chainlink July 20 - July 26

Weekly Wrap: This Week In Chainlink July 20 - July 26. What a week! Check out this weekly wrap-up of all that has been accomplished in the Chainlink community.

Announcements and Integrations 🎉

SmartCon will feature the top minds and builders of smart contracts and celebrate our incredible community, thriving ecosystem & cutting-edge research. Experience a mix of keynotes, panel discussions, live demos, developer workshops, and networking with the community. We made registration complimentary so everyone can participate.

We’re thrilled to welcome DeutscheTelekom’s TSystems_MMS IT Services group to Chainlink. Tsystemscom’s world-class infrastructure team secures a large amount of enterprise value today & is now on mainnet helping secure Chainlink’s oracle network.

Top Korean banks: Hana Bank, Shinhan Bank, Nonghyup Bank, and Industrial Bank of Korea select Chainlink and CenterPrime to bring their forex data on-chain, transforming the capabilities of open banking services, fintech and DeFi.

Binance Smart Chain has integrated Chainlink as its oracle live on testnet! Using Chainlink gives devs access to off-chain data (e.g. Binance_DEX), enabling them to build DeFi dApps for derivatives, crypto payments, automated asset management and more.

Reflexer (@MetaCoinProject) has successfully integrated Chainlink's ETH/USD Price Reference Data as the basis for collateralization checks on their first Generalized Ethereum Bond (reflex bond) RAI—a low volatility, trust minimized collateral for DeFi.

Blockchain-based e-document solution @FirmaChain is integrating Chainlink to create more seamless digital contracts. For example, car rental contracts using Chainlink to validate driver licenses within the signature process for better customer experience.

Blockchain platform Elastos blockchain is launching a Chainlink-powered ELA/USD Price Reference Data feed to use for collateralization checks on its upcoming cross-chain stablecoin. This is one of many advanced dApps possible on Elastos using real-world data.

TinyboxesETH is using ChainlinkVRF to create Tiny Boxes, randomized & animated generative art pieces that, from creation to curation, exist fully on-chain for collectors to enjoy. They will also use Chainlink price oracles for minting pieces w/ crypto.

Chainlink's ENJ/ETH Price Reference Feed is live on mainnet! Gaming developers can use this reliable price feed when minting or exchanging Enjin-based digital assets.

Chainlink's REN/ETH Price Reference Feed is live on mainnet. DeFi developers utilizing REN in their dApp now have access to a secure and reliable price oracle. This is just one of many Chainlink oracles available today.

Featured Videos & Educational Pieces 🎥

Join the MCDEX team and Chainlink for a video Q&A is with Gareth the DaoChemist (https://twitter.com/daochemist), Head of Business Development of MCDEX. The discussion will be centered on MCDEX integration with Chainlink and a deep-dive into MCDEX's launch of liquidity mining.

Join the Vite Labs team and Chainlink for a video Q&A is with Richard Yan, the Co-founder, and COO of Vite Labs. The discussion will be centered on 1) Why ViteX has better performance than other DEXs, 2) ViteX's approach to trans and liquidity mining where the coins earned entitle users to proceeds from the exchange, 3) Future plans for ViteX.

Watch this community workshop featuring an AMA with LinkPool’s head of business development, Ian Read. In the video, they discuss the future roadmap for LinkPool, how to become a node operator, and best practices for running a node.

Ecosystem & Community Celebrations 👏

Upcoming Events 📅

Are you interested in hosting your own meetup? Apply to become a Chainlink Community Advocate today: https://events.chain.link/advocate

SmartContract is hiring to build Chainlink’s network: Check out these open roles 👩‍💼

View all open roles at https://careers.smartcontract.com
submitted by linkedkeenan to Chainlink [link] [comments]

The Daily Autist, By An Autist, For Autists. 03/24/20

The Daily Autist

03/24/20

Hot Off The Spectrum

TLDR of the News to Inform Your Moves (Monday was a lot. Even my post is long)

What’s up sluts. I’m back with another burst of autism. I’ve been Rick fuggin Rollin in the tendies (AKA not hemorrhaging money) and these posts have been fairly accurate. I’ll be adding plays to the NostraLosses section as a result to bring more clarity to my dumbass takes.
FIRST THINGS FUCKING FIRST THE ORIGINAL AUTIST ARTIST WHO DREW THE OLD LOGO HAS COME TO LIGHT IM SO FUCKING HAPPY. We’ll never get it back, but sometimes closure on it’s own feels good enough. What am I a fucking teenager? The rest of the sub was shit yesterday/this morning.I was shadowbanned for posting “Fear mongering Corona Content,” and yet 75% of the sub’s hot posts are exactly that but with even less info than I had. Rest is memes. No plays or info. Honestly kinda sad.
https://www.reddit.com/wallstreetbets/comments/fnpz20/hey_yall_i_drew_the_original_baby_ama/
Obligatory Corona Dump (Monday news could not stop throating COVID content)
Things are in such a Twilight Zone State Amazon is getting credit for being “altruistic,” like they didn’t hike up prices since late January themselves and only altered their practices once Trump threatened Defense Production Act (DPA) notice they’re also only suspending, so once things are just slightly back to normal please price gouge errthang.
https://www.scmp.com/tech/big-tech/article/3076638/amazon-suspends-almost-4000-seller-accounts-unfairly-priced-products
Costco is also getting unwarranted credit. They won’t take back your tower of toilet paper or tub of hand sanitizer, which COSTS them money they already made. Did they have any problem hiking the price, refusing to limit sales per person, not give their employees PPE, or donate any relief from their excess food products due to banning eating at the location and numbers going down? Nah? ok. So the good guy is the company that profited off of fear and won’t provide the minimum financial relief to those who thought it was that extreme. Stop demonizing your fellow worker citizens.
https://brobible.com/culture/article/costco-toilet-paper-returns-hoarders/
Companies getting high praise and both articles implying a return to normalcy soon. How does that affect the markets? Normies are being told everything is okay and they will follow suit. Is everything okay? Absolutely not. These MFs in charge just announced unlimited QE yesterday nothing’s okay financially. Retard normie pump coming in.
Financial News:
Trump is saying that unless 10,000 die in the streets soon he’s gonna “re-open” the economy after the 15 days. At this point it’s a bit of a walking Onion article. Thursday?” ITS A WAR WE WILL CAPTURE AND KNIFE COVID’S ASSHOLE”. Friday? “This is serious. I do not want to use any drastic measures but I will. This is very verry serious.” Monday? “Isn’t being stuck inside fucking wack? Let’s open the pit up bro” I recommend watching the video with subtitles to get a transcript of his speech patterns.
https://www.reuters.com/video/watch/america-will-again-and-soon-be-open-for-id701434357?chan=9qsux198
I predicted the Fed couldn’t devalue the dollar as fast as other countries could want it and it seems to be holding up. A very small dip from the news they’re willing to print unlimited moneys? The global economy is in trouble if that's still the stability bearer. Puts are lookin good, but they need to be farther out. 04/17 soonest for my comfort. Especially with the temporary re-open of the US economy. Seeing Reuters use “money bazooka,’ multiple times in the last week has been fantastic.
https://www.reuters.com/article/global-forex/forex-dollar-slips-as-feds-money-bazooka-raises-hopes-of-easier-cash-supply-idUSL4N2BH2AF
Italy’s debt, tax, and unemployment relief are all being held up by congressional disputes and an ability to only handle a tenth of the paperwork that comes in. Sound familiar? Maybe ominous? The population density in regions of Italy is our closest analog to how a free (eat my dick South Korea) country is gonna get hit. Their healthcare system is also tainted by for-profit companies and insurance so it’s also pretty similar medical coverage wise per capita.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-banks-insight/banks-struggle-to-ride-to-the-rescue-in-europes-cash-crunch-battle-idUSKBN21B0OE
United Airlines is threatening to fire workers if they don’t get a bailout. I hope to fuck this is the tipping point and the government forces United to hand over their payroll list so the gov. Provide financial relief to their employees while United liquidates their assets or sells to some Saudi Conglomerate. Effect on market? PUTS ON UNITED BITCH THEY GOIN OUT
https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/03/20/819401028/united-airlines-threatens-to-cut-jobs-if-coronavirus-aid-package-isnt-passed (From 03/20 but was drowned out by other news. Looks more and more likely airlines won’t be bailed out)
Everyday Fox business posts something for Boomers to buy more Ford or Dine stocks (idk what old people buy) and today they have some good ammo. Overnight futures were up. Pre-market today as of 06:31 EST is $234.72 after touching 238. Looks like today is going to be the bull trap day as the rumors of stimulus are hot again. If it gets passed I expect a 245-248 top before the unemployment numbers Thursday fist everyone. Market effect? Short term calls as everyone gets high on optimism and long term puts for when they come down.
https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/stock-futures-gain-ground-as-congress-moves-closer-to-a-stimulus-deal
Crypto is taking off after tanking yesterday. Overnight rally (NZ markets followed by Asian markets) carried it up 14% in the last 16 hours. It started to rise slowly after the QE announcement but really flew overnight and this morning. Cooling off now but already had a dip to 6650 and right back up to 6700+ While not always correlated, crypto is a key indicator right now in speculative confidence while people are budgeting for maintaining their lives versus increasing their future wealth. No link because every crypto site is owned by a Ponzi schemer. Fight me and my tinfoil fucking hat. Here are some squigglies and bars
https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUSD/?exchange=BITBAY
My NostraLosses Prediction? The rumors of stimulus and the passed unlimited QE will provide market optimism today and tomorrow. Thursday’s unemployment numbers is the next scheduled big news so I wouldn’t get any short term puts unless scalping. If anything unexpected news could bring the market even higher with it being random good news versus any random catastrophic news. Market open will be up about 6% from the previous day’s close, so I expect a short term dip at open which would be a good spot to get quick calls to then ride the pump. Market closes above 235 and if stimulus passes along with more false optimism statements by Trump there’s possibly a sharp bull run to 245-248 by end of Wednesday.
Plays to follow:
SPY: 240c 03/27 once the first dip of day happens. If your bankroll allows for a few days farther out I would go for it. If SPY does hit 240, SELL call and BUY put for 228 04/01 at soonest.
DIA: 190P 04/17 It hasn’t fallen nearly as hard as it should (another 5% imo) and the industries making it up are going to have numbers showing how bad the payroll cuts and profit loss has been. During today’s pump get some not so fucking expensive puts (made sure not to say cheap)
Any Stupid Tech Company: Retarded OTM call for 03/27 or later. With so many people being stuck at home the last week or so the tech companies are outperforming the market with the idea that: The high user rate means more $$$, but if there’s more people on because they are not working or laid off, how do they have the money to buy shitty sponsored products on their feed? The kicker here is ads have always had near useless efficacy rates on social media so the fact they will continue to do a shit job might not change much. Anyway people are fucking dumb and tech gonna continue to rally this week. Signed, someone with 1.5k in TWTR Puts expiring over next 4 weeks.
Most people don’t even give you one play. I’m giving you multiple ways to lose your money.
TLDR of my TLDR: Companies who profited off the crisis getting karma points for no reason. Normies think the crisis will be over next Friday. International currencies are still erratic but the markets are rallying today globally (sign of lacking underlying stability for said rally). Italy can’t pass anything or handle the paperwork from their previously set up process (AKA USA in 7-10 days under current stimulus proposals) and they don’t have a solution in sight. Stimulus has everyone rock hard for calls again, ride the short term rise and pick up puts while you’re up there. Just be a long term gay bear experimenting with bulls depending on the day.
Results on my thoughts from last post 03/23: I was incorrect on circuit breaker open but was only 1% away and it did run up mid-day as called. So if you sold at 218 to buy calls to sell a few hours later, we nailed it boys. If you were aiming for price instead of time, it never hit 234 again which was a key test and you’re likely sitting on a fat red option right now. I was about half right which is all you need to be. I’ve also switched up Market affect and effect because I’m retarded and am unsure which is right anymore. Nvm grammarly fixed it.
And again, I mean this sincerely,

submitted by AvocadosAreMeh to wallstreetbets2 [link] [comments]

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submitted by GiuliettaShop to Popify [link] [comments]

How to setup Twitter to stream the latest breaking economic news

I wrote a guide here on how to setup Twitter / Tweetdeck to have a clean and concise live streaming news feed that caters to Forex traders who are impacted by economic breaking news.
How to setup Twitter to stream the latest currency and economic news in 2019 and 2020
I hope people find it useful and I'm looking for any feedback you might have regarding which sources might be good to add to the list I provided.
Let me know what you think. :)
submitted by finance_student to StockMarket [link] [comments]

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fontspotting Food_and_Wine Food_Bank Food_Gifs FoodAddiction FoodAllergies FoodBlog FoodGifs Foodie Foodnews foodnotbombs foodphotography FoodPorn_ja FoodPortland FoodSanDiego FoodSovereignty foodtheory foodtrucks foodwishes Foolcraft FoolUs foosball foot footage footbag football_streams footballcards FootballCoach FootballDailyUK footballmanager footballmemes FootballStreams footfetishdating FootTalk footwork fooya foradecasa Forager forcedacronyms forcedperspective FordBronco FordDiesels fordescape FordExplorer fordfusion FordRaptor Foregen ForeignMoviePosters ForensicFiles Forest ForestHealth ForeverChest ForeverHasFallen ForeverUnwanted Forex_Signals forex_trades Forex_trading_chat forfeiture forge forgedinfireshow ForgedWithFire forgeofempires forgottenfilm ForgottenNews forgottenrealms forgottenwebsites ForHonorAcademy ForHonorPTS ForHonorRants ForHonorRomans ForHonorWuLin ForkDelta forkliftmemes ForksoverKnives formative FormerFutureAuthor FormosaFinancial FormulaBuddyRetard FormulaDrift FormulaFeeders Formulaww1 fornite ForniteBattleRoyal ForrestFennTreasure forsale Forth ForTheKing fortify FortMyers FortNite_Epic FortNiteBR2Deep FortniteCirclejerk FortniteClips FortniteDisscusion FortniteFleaMarket FortniteFr FortniteGlitches fortniteloadouts FortniteMusic FortniteRoyaleLFG FortniteStW FortniteSwitch FortniteVideos fortran Fortuna69 FortuneJackCasino fortwayne Forum_Democratie forwardsfrombabushka forwardsfromgunny Forza_Horizon3 ForzaAuctions ForzaHorizon2 ForzaMotorsport7 FOSSHelpWanted FossilHunting fossils Fosterparents FosterThePeople Fotografi fotosmexico foucault foulweather foundfootage FoundOnGoogleMaps FoundOnYoutube FoundTheCanadian foundthedesktopuser FoundTheElon foundthefridgeuser foundthehypocrite foundthepcuser foundtheprogrammer FoundTheRedcoat FoundWords FountainPen FountainPenPals FourEyed_MUA fourpanelcringe FourSouls fourthsub Fox FoxandFriends Foxbody foxgifs foxloaf foxmustang FOXNEWS FoxStevenson Foxtrot fpgagaming FPSAimTrainer FPSPorn FPVvideos fr FracturedButWhole FracturedSpace FragDecants fragfilms fragranceswap Framebuilding FrameByFrame francais FrancaisCanadien FranceLibre FranceskaFournier frankfurt FrankfurtSchool FRANKIEonPCin1080p franksadventures franksinatra frankthetank frankturner franzferdinand FrasierMemes fraud frcmemes freakazoid Freakonomics freddiemercury frederickmd fredericksburg fredericton free_images free_karma Free_Pizzas Free_steam_keys FreeAlbums FreeAtheism freebandcamp FREEBANDZ freebates freebiesandsamples FreeBits freebooks FreeCAD Freedombox freedomearth freedompop FreedomWars FreeDrama FreeEbooksMe FreeFireBattlegrounds FreeFolkNews freefonts Freefood freeforallfashion FreeGameGiveaway FreeGamesOniOS FreeGamesOnOrigin FreeGaming freeganism freegiveaways FreeHans freehardware freehelpmoney freehorrorstories freejazz freekindle freelancer Freelancers freelanceuk freelancewriting freelancing freeletics FreeLoops FreeMagazines freemasons FREEMEDIAFUCKYEAH FREEMEDIAHECKYEAH freemoney FreeMusicFindings Freenet FreeorCheapEJuice FreePolDiscussion FreeProWrestling Freerun freerunning freesmiley FreeSteamGames FreeStuffNYC freestylerap freethinkers FreetoCook freetoplaygames FreeVST FREEVSTS freeware FreeWrite FreezeDried Freezing FreezingColdTakes freiburg freights Fremont FrenchBulldog frenchelectro FrenchForeignLegion frenchhelp Frenchhistory FrenchMemes frenchrap fresh_funny FreshStart freshwateraquarium FreyaVulpine freyjavandenbroucke FridayNightDinner fridaynightlights FridayThe13thGame FridayThe13thReviewer fridgedeco fried FriedChicken friendsafaricodes FriendsAndShit Friendsatthetable FriendsFromCollege FriendshipAdvice FriendsOver40 FrightenedRabbit fringediscussion FringeHub FringePhysics Fringers fringly frisco friskydingo FRIT FRlegends frogandtoadmemes FrogLoaf frogpants FromAssToMouth fromcomicstocinema Fromis FromSpaceWithLove FromTheDepths front_end frontfootporn frontknotcleavage frostgrave frs frugal_smallbusiness frugalcanada frugalcosplay FrugalHouston frugalinteriordesign frugaljerk FrugalMensFashion frugalnyc FrugalPaleo FrugalSports frugalsupplements FrugalTO frugaltravelgear FrugalUrbanHermits FrugalWedding FrugalWrist fruit fruitfaces Fruitgore FruitsBasket FRUITUNION FruityLoops FryMyMeme fsf fsusports fsx FTB_Design FTH ftm_irl FTM_SELFIES ftmcirclejerk ftmfashionadv FTMfemininity FTMMen FTMOver30 FtMpassing Fuchsia fuck FuckableFaces fuckanimals FuckArvo FUCKBLOAT FuckCaillou Fuckcancer FuckCilantro fuckcoop FUCKDAVIDKING FuckDruid fuckedupsimsstories FuckedUpThoughts fuckerebus fuckfuckfuckthirdsub fuckfuckthirdsub FUCKGARY Fucking fuckingcooking FuckingDragonCars FUCKINGINFURIATING fuckingkaren fuckmarrykill FuckMindy fuckmoash FuckMyLife FuckMyne fucknoobmaster69 fuckpatty Fuckscapes Fuckstannis FuckStuartLittle FuckTedFaro FuckTheZuck fuckthirdsub FuckToken FuckUnitedAirlines fuckyea fuckyoumorgan Fude FuelRats FujifilmX fulbo fulbright fulhamfc FullAlbumsOnYouTube fullanimeonyoutube fullconcertonyoutube fulldisclosure FULLDISCOURSE fulldocumentary fullhouse fulllife fullmatch fullmatchesonyoutube fullmetalifrit fullmovierequest FullNames FullNEWS fullnfl FULLPOSADISM FullSciFiMovies FullSkateVideos FullSpeedAhead FullStack fullstalinism FullTiming fulltvshows fulltvshowsongoogle FullyClothedAsians Fun FunAskReddit functional functional_miniatures FundersToken fundraiser FuneralDoomMetal FuneralHomePorn FunFair Fungi FungusZombies FunHolsters funimation funkhouse Funko_Pop FunkoPopDeals FunkStyle FunniestVideos Funny_Autocorrect funny_news funny_pics_videos funny_uncensored funnyanswers funnybutsad FunnyButWhy funnycarmods funnycats FunnyCommercials FunnyDankMemes Funnydogs funnyfartstories FunnyGun funnymeme funnyphilosophy funnyreviews FunnySad FunnyStockPics funnystories FunnySupernatural FunnyTexts funrun FunUnsolvedMysteries Funwaa furby Furi FuriousParents furniture_design furnitureporn furniturerestoration furrealmemes FurriesAreSubhuman furry_catwalk 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Do You Know Dollar Rate in Delhi Today? - Read to Know!

Delhi being the capital of India has always been the hub for foreign exchange. Due to National and International tourism activity, the foreign exchange demand in Delhi is always high. Banks offer a rate that is constant on foreign exchange. But, online sites update the rates depending on market trends. Do you know the dollar rate today in Delhi? Well, its easier to check the rate from the site Bookmyforex.com.
The dollar rate in Delhi is updated every three seconds on the site. In no time, you can freeze the rate of your choice and get your money exchanged. Dollar rates today in Delhi also depend on demand and supply. Though the demand for exchange is high, it also depends on the person who needs to exchange currency for a purpose.
Why you should choose an online Forex site for exchange?
Today dollar rate in Delhi may change depending on live market rate feed. If you need to exchange currency from INR to USD, then an online site like Bookmyforex.com offers you the best features. You'll get the lowest exchange rate guarantee from the site along with the rate alert feature.
A rate alert feature sends you a notification when the rate is near your desired rate. You'll be able to book your exchange order according to the exact dollar rate in Delhi. The process is flexible and transparent.
The online site also offers you a rate freeze feature option. Suppose you come across a low dollar rate today in Delhi. You'll be able to freeze the rate for three days. You'll be able to use the same rate you freeze for three days for an exchange. This ensures that you have a safe and secure transaction execution. For people who stay in Delhi, its actually time saving because the order is home delivered by Bookmyforex.com
Get the best dollar rate in Delhi
You can simply log on to Bookmyforex.com and enter your location to get the dollar rate today in Delhi. The exchange rates online will help you with your Forex transactions. But the rates do not remain constant. They fluctuate and the site updates it every three seconds.
You need to make an early booking if you want to exchange your currency at a low rate possible. Irrespective of your location or place in Delhi, you can book a rate and order Forex online. This saves on your effort of manually finding the rate or going to moneychangers for rate and exchange.
The many benefits to choosing an online Forex site
Bookmyforex.com offers you the best rates that are better than banks and moneychangers. The live rates are transparent and competitive. With the same-day delivery feature, you'll be able to receive your order on the same day.
Bookmyforex.com offers you best customer support, if you are stuck with any issue regarding Forex order online, you can contact the support team. On regular booking of exchange orders, the site provides loyalty ad referral benefits. You can earn money by referring your friends and family for an exchange order in Delhi.
Buying exchange
Forex rates are live on Bookmyforex.com. After checking today's dollar rate in Delhi, you can buy or sell USD on a similar live rate. The site features only authorized RBI vendors so it ensures complete quality check upon your booking.
The site offers free home delivery orders above 50,000, so you can book your order from home or office and get it delivered in no time. Foreign exchange in Delhi is easier with online features offered by the site. You can also use a Forex card for exchange. A Forex card is a preloaded cash card with currency of the particular place you are visiting. It also reloads the card with no added fees.
Get the best deal,
The Dollar rate in Delhi is never constant and fluctuates according to the economy. Online sites provide you complete expediency so that you get a fair rate advantage on the exchange deal you choose. Get your exchange from the comfort of your home in Delhi, just log on to the site Bookmyforex.com.
submitted by ankitasharmaa to u/ankitasharmaa [link] [comments]

Here are Some Tips to Exchange Currency In India

If you need to travel abroad or exchange currency for emergency remittance, you should know about currency exchange in India. Are you wondering, 'Where is foreign exchange near me', well there are banks, moneychangers and online sites that'll help you through the process. Banks and money changers charge extra for currency exchange, unlike online Forex sites.
The exchange process
Still worried and thinking "where is currency exchange near me'. You simply have to log into Bookmyforex.com. Choose your location, enter the rate, and amount. With uploading the relevant documents, you can book your order. The best part about online order is, the site will get it delivered at your doorstep. As Bookmyforex.com delivers to more than 650 cities across India, you can get Forex delivery anywhere in India.
The exchange process is simple and your order can be delivered on the same day. You do not have to pay extra for Forex exchange in India as the site charges a nominal amount on exchange.
Things have gone the digital way today and online payments have become common. Its time you use online Forex sites for currency exchange rather than moneychangers. The process is flexible and transparent and safety is guaranteed as well.
Explore online options
A site like Bookmyforex.com offers complete expediency in currency exchange. You'll get the best-updated rate options. The site updates the live feed of rates every three seconds. You'll be able to freeze the rate for three days by paying a normal upfront charge. With rate alert option, the site sends you a notification of your desired rate so that saves on your money as well.
Bookmyforex.com offers you many features for currency exchange. You can also choose a Forex card or traveler's cheque for exchange. Forex card is a preloaded card with the currency of the place you are visiting. Traveler's cheque is issued in the currency of your preferred location. It is easy to make payments with preloaded Forex cards. You'll get the benefit of flexible Forex rates with the option of Forex cards.
Get the best deal,
Get your money exchanged in a hassle-free way with Bookmyforex.com. You can get the best deal with live rate advantage and fair prices. Log in today for Forex exchange and avail great offers.
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Boyfriend (21M) is lazy, does nothing, doesn't even look for jobs which is sending me (21M) and him over the edge slowly.

Hi all.
This is the 4th time I've tried to write this, and I $ you not, I've been writing for the last hour.
So I work full time, earning approx. £24k per year which is a bit over minimum wage.
My boyfriend used to have a job in another area around 100 miles away when he lived back at home however when we moved in together 5 months into the relationship he came with me.
3 month after moving in, he got a job at a local supermarket working 16hrs per week and said it's not somewhere he wants to stay forever, and it was okay for the start as he was getting plenty of overtime. Eventually he wanted to be working full time somewhere.
He has dreams and ambitions of having his own business, like a tattoo parlour, or a pub, or something like that. He has plans to travel the world and wants to do this all with me.
He does want to go to Uni, and for this he needs to resit a few of his exams which he keeps mentioning he wants to do.
Issue is, that around Feb/March 2019 he had to leave his job on medical grounds (couldn't lift heavy items anymore and this was his job).
Since then I started helping him apply for new jobs, at first he got a few interviews (video, phone and in person). The video interview he never did saying that the camera inverts the way he looks so he doesn't want to do it, the phone interviews he did all of them however he missed some as he slept through the day to stay up at night watching GoT etc., he had some in person interviews as well of which he went to one, and was unsuccessful, and since then hasn't been to one. He's had invites for a few more since but still hasn't gone to any.
I have even resorted asking my managers to put in a good work to recruitment to get him working where I am.
He really does want a full time sustainable job and is avoiding jobs such as cleaning, takeaways (McDonalds, KFC etc) which is fair enough, I don't have an issue with that.
When I say I helped him apply for jobs, I mean that I was doing all the applying for him, again which did not bother me at all at first.
It's not been 6 months going on 7 since he was unemployed. As mentioned I get around £24k per year which does leave us really short after bills, repayments on a few of my debts, food etc. is paid for. We're living from payday to payday and one month's wage will only last us 4 weeks, so the 5 week months we have to go a few days pretty much without food and rely on leftovers.
We agreed from day one of moving in to split the bills, which we initially did whilst he was working in the supermarket however eventually when things got difficult and he was stuck doing his part time contracted hours I told him I'd cover all the bills - again - didn't bother me. I see it as our money, not my money his money type of thing.
I am fortunate however that recently my parents have been paying for my shopping and also giving me some homemade food, so that's a monthly expense saved however most of that goes to the bills that I fell into arrears with (i.e. I'm in arrears with gas, electric, water, council tax, his phone bill is in arrears which I'm paying off). After all bills go out, we're left with pretty much £50-£80 emergency money (depending if TV license is due etc).
So, I'm fortunate that I'm able to keep the house afloat with the help of my parents for the nutritional aspect. The only thing food-wise I pay for is dog food as I don't want my parents to be feeding my dogs (makes me feel like a bit of a failure lol). As long as my dogs and my boyfriend are eating, I'm happy.
There's been days where we've been short on food with a day to go until the weekly shopping with my parents, I've lied to my boyfriend and said I've already eaten at work as there was a free buffet on (which work never have), just so he has the last bit of food as if I said to him I was hungry he would never agree to eat it.
Going back to the topic, it's been now 7 months since he's been unemployed. Total jobs applied for are around 100 (even though I was trying to aim for 5 jobs per day for me to apply for him, we all know that's hard whilst working full time as well).
He complains that I'm tired and want to sleep all the time, he complains that we never do anything fun, he stays up all night watching TV and playing video games whilst I'm asleep alone in bed (I don't think I've slept with him in the same bed for a few months now) with one of the dogs whilst he tends to the other.
He wants to be successful but I feel like he's honestly not doing anything about it? A few months ago I put my foot down and said that I'm not going to be helping him anymore as all the jobs I apply for there is some type of problem, and it won't feel the same because it's me doing it and not him so he won't even know what job it is if they ring him back! I told him to try and aim for 5 jobs per day. This was around 2-3 months ago I think. Since I told him this, he's probably applied for around 15-20 jobs in total (I'm thinking more around 10). When I ask him how the job hunt is going he gets defensive, saying that I'm putting him under a lot of pressure that he needs to find a job and he doesn't want any pressure.
I'm starting to think he's not the hard-working individual he proclaimed to be at the start of the relationship.
My week generally consists of waking up around 5am daily, studying the financial markets (search on Google for Forex) until around 7am. Then I start work between 8am-12pm and finish between 4pm-8pm depending on the shift I'm on (it's 7 hour shifts). After I get home, I do tend to carry on studying, reading books, researching on the financial markets as this is what I aspire to be in the future (a full time private currency trader).
He knows all this and sees me working all the time and he says that I work hard and he's proud of me however it makes me feel selfish, and guilty in fact, that I don't feel the same back to him? I've told him even if he volunteered somewhere that's a start as at least he wouldn't be home all day.
He suffers with some mental health issues and so do I in fact. Mine are financially related, struggling to provide for my own household sends me under. We used to have a car and went for daily adventures when things were good. We both miss this.
I miss him.
Again... I'm going off of topic!!! Let's get back to the job situation. He had one response from a job application around a week ago that gave him an in person interview after a successful telephone interview however they withdrew the a few days before his in person interview. I told him not to worry and that there was going to plenty more, he didn't sound too bothered by it but I do think he was upset as he liked the sound of the job.
I want him to get a job and I sometimes feel like grabbing his head and shaking it to put it right lol! I don't want him to feel under pressure but at the same time I want him to understand that he needs to find one as we're relying on other people for essentials at the minute. He wants a good life and I want to be able to start saving money so I can start my Forex trading career as well eventually.
That's the money side of things.
The other side of things is the emotional side. He's deteriorating emotionally and he won't accept this. He's losing the plot and I've told him this. He'll go angry over the smallest things. For example if I was to accidentally slam the door shut (i.e. put more force onto it when not needed because I'm thinking the window is shut when it's open) he'll comment on it. He never used to do this. Same door, same window. He won't leave the house for weeks at times. I have to force him to sometimes. When he wants something (i.e. a snack or a soft-drink) he'll ask me to go across the road (literally 10 steps away) to get it. Leaving it my choice to decide what he eats and drinks. When I tell him he should go and get some fresh air at the same time, he doesn't want to as he's not confident in his own body (he tans, and I've told him not to put as much on whilst we can't afford to buy new ones whenever he needs it, more-so when we can). He'll get a bit annoyed over small things like the pillow on the sofa not being in the right place after I've sat on it and just got off - or if I was in a rush in the morning and left the ironing board out, or had not done the bed up or accidentally left the foot towel on the floor without moving it onto the radiator after I've had a shower. He'll wake up around 4-5-6pm, and then complain that I don't see him or speak to him when I get home and go back to studying and reading what I am doing, even though I'm sat right next to him. I tend to try and sleep as late as I can so I can at least get some time with him even if it's 30-45 mins. Sometimes this is as late as 1:30am, of which you can understand if I wake up at 5am including weekends I'm getting lack of sleep, but I'm used to it so it doesn't bother me really.
All I want is for him to be happy, and for him not to go insane. Even right now, the last time he left the house was.... I can't remember. Perhaps weekend before last weekend when he walked the dog (which I had to practically force him to do).
Props to him he does do most of the housework. He hoovers the most, does the dishes the most, does the washing up the most, lets the dogs out to the toilet the most. I do the money-making, feeding the dogs, the cooking and the ironing. But these aren't limited, we can swap or one of us can do it all one time at the agreement the other will do it all or whatever surplus there was next time.
He's getting settled for this life, a life that we're both not used to but he's settling for it. And I don't want him to. It's killing him on the inside.
I've even tried to explain that if we ever have an unexpected bill, god forbid, how will we afford it? I've sold everything in the house that I could possibly sell to make some extra money. We've literally got a TV, sofa, Xbox, bed, kitchen appliances and two laptops (one that I do my studies one and the other that used to be my brother's that he [boyfriend] uses to play games and watch Netflix - doesn't use to apply for jobs as doesn't have Word on it for CV which is fair enough). I leave my laptop at home all day and have everything logged on for him overnight so he can apply for jobs either whilst he's awake whilst I'm asleep or whilst I'm at work.
So my question/advice is... how should I motivate him to apply for jobs, how should I go about it whilst keeping into account everything that he doesn't want to feel (under pressure etc.)? How do I explain to him that it will actually give us a better life that we're both used to? How can I explain to him that without him having a job, all of our plans, our ambitions, our goals, our travelling will never happen?
Please, if anything else needs explaining or I've not covered anything do not hesitate to ask. I do not take offence to anything whatsoever.
Thank you guys in advance, I hope some ideas can come to light for myself and anyone else in my situation.
Best regards,
X
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Easy Tips To Know USD Buying Rate Today

Online Forex sites offer you the best features for currency exchange and conversion. A site like Bookmyforex.com offers you lowest Dollar to INR Exchange rate. The rates are updated according to live feed. The site provides you a rate card for exchange so you'll know what is the USD buying rate today. It's easier if the process is transparent, you'll avail the benefit of best rate conversion. To know more about Easy Tips To Know USD Buying Rate Today visit @ https://medium.com/@ankita.sharmaa051/easy-tips-to-know-usd-buying-rate-today-3ee644c0f3e6
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Know-How You Can Buy Forex Online

Times have changed and how. You don't need to rely on traditional ways like Banks and Moneychangers to buy Forex today. In this digital era, everything can be done online. You can buy Forex online after comparing various rates. You'll get the benefit of the lowest rate and it'll save on your time as well.
A site like Bookmyforex.com offers great features on Forex exchange. You have the convenience to buy Forex online with lock-in options. The best part is online sites do not charge extra on Forex exchange, unlike Banks that charge 2.5% to 6% on exchange. Get the best rate advantage with easy Forex delivery across many locations in India.
Complete expediency and best rate advantage
The online currency is updated according to market fluctuations. The live rate feed will help you get the best rate if you want to buy Forex online. Bookmyforex.com offers a rate alert feature on Forex exchange.
It notifies you when the rate is set near your desired rate giving you a fair price advantage. With online booking of Forex, you can get it delivered at your home. Bookmyforex.com takes care of remittance, buying and selling needs that offer complete flexibility. It also offers Forex cards and money transfers if you want to carry or remit money abroad.
How you can buy Forex online?
Simple steps online can help you buy Forex. You need to login to the site that offers you Forex exchange. You need to select the location or the city you stay in. Then choose the currency that you need.
Bookmyforex.com offers you more than 29 currencies so it lets you exchange according to your needs. You'll have an option of selecting from currency and Forex cards.
Forex card offers preloaded currency of the place you are visiting. You'll also have the option of a traveler's cheque for exchange. Then choose the Forex amount and the rate on offer. You'll get the benefit of the preferred rate for exchange if you have frozen the rate.
This can be done for three days by paying an upfront charge of 2%. Once you get the final amount, you can finally proceed to buy Forex from the site. Choose a delivery option to Buy my Forex available and you are sorted.
Advantages of buying Forex online
Why go to a Bank or Moneychanger when you can save on your time and effort. Forex exchange online offers complete ease of buying.
You can get amazing customer support with door delivery with no added costs. All major foreign currencies are supported on online portals specially Bookmyforex.com.
With rate alert feature, choose the best time to buy Forex. The exchange rate can be frozen for three days so you'll get the advantage of rate if you buy Forex online.
The live rates are updated after every three seconds. With the rate card feature, you'll get to choose from updated rates so it helps you get the best deal.
Buy Forex online with simple modes of payment offered by online sites. Most sites offer cards, cash and net banking facilities on exchange. It also depends on what kind of mode you choose. A site like Bookmyforex.com offers no hidden charges on Forex exchange.
You need to pay the upfront fees and a nominal charge. Banks and Moneychangers charge anywhere between 6 to 12% on Forex exchange. Save on added costs and get the best option available.
Buy with the app,
People now prefer to make payments and buy through apps. It’s easier with Smartphones and it also saves time. If you wish to buy Forex online on the app, then there is Bookmyforex app that allows you to buy Forex in no time.
You'll get complete features on the app as it is on the website. You need to download the app to select the process and book your order.
Are you contemplating where to buy my Forex? Then head to online Forex exchange sites and apps. The process is simple and transparent. Within no time, you can get your Forex delivered at home.
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【翻译Quora上一篇问答】中国是否正在面临一次银行危机(谈到房地产) by phoebeDD on 2016-10-04

Is China really facing a banking crisis? What are its origins?
(中国是否正在面对一次银行危机?其根源又是什么?)



According to a recent article titled China facing full-blown banking crisis, world's top financial watchdog war
ns published in the Telegraph:
(根据近期电讯文章报道:“世界顶级金融观察者发出警告:中国正在面临全面的银行危机”)
China has failed to curb excesses in its credit system and faces mounting risks of a full-blown banking crisis
(中国已对债务违约失去控制,他们正在面对随之而来的全面性银行危机)
(中国债务/GDP 占比图)


Financial Crises

International Economics

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Robin Daverman, Dealmaker
Written Sep 27


Ah, but maybe you want to look around a bit and see how China’s total debt is compared with other economies, like this?
(你可能想看看其他经济体与中国的债务情况相比是怎么样的,如下图)

(G10债务分布图)
If you put China’s data on this chart, it will be somewhere around Canada and New Zealand. Guess Which Country Has Debt Of Nearly 1000% Of GDP... Shocking, isn’t it?
如果你将中国的数据插入上图进行比较的话,中国的数据大约会在加拿大和新西兰之间。猜猜看哪个国家债务大约是自己GDP的10倍....(英国)非常震惊吧
UK has almost 1000% Debt-to-GDP ratio, compared with China’s < 300% Debt-to-GDP ratio, mostly because of that over-sized financial debt - at the end of the day, the government must stand behind it. On top of that, the UK has no resource to sell, hardly any industry left, going through a divorce with EU, and almost never ever meets her fiscal targets. And yet, UK, with its near 1000% debt-to-GDP ratio, is still viewed as the gold standard among safe havens. PRESENTING: The Rosetta Stone Of The Entire Sovereign Debt Crisis Why? Because UK issues debt in her own currency. And who prints the pound? The UK government.
英国的债务/GDP占比将近1000%而中国只是小于300%,其原因是其过于庞大的金融债务——政府最终将不得不为之站台。在此之上,英国没用可出售的资源,没有任何本国工业,正在脱离欧盟,而且英国基本上从来没有达成其财务目标。即使如此,英国仍然被某些传媒视为安全经济体的黄金标准。其原因就是英债都以英镑的方式结算。那么是谁印英镑的呢?英国政府。
Then you take a look at Japan, wow that’s 600%+ debt-to-GDP ratio! But - Japan’s debt is not only mostly internal, in Japanese Yen, but also with 0% or even negative interest. You can roll this kind of debt over practically forever. That’s why people have been yelling about Japanese debt for the last 20 years, and nothing happens.
然后你看看日本,将近600%的债务/GDP占比!但是,日本的债务几乎都是内部的,以日元的形式出售的债务,而且日本是0利率甚至是负利率。实际上这种债务你可以无限积累下去(经济常识:如果是负利率,政府只要保持债务不变,多出来的部分会自行消失)。这就是为啥人们对日债担心了20年但屁事没有发生。
Then you take a look at those economies that have blown up on debt:
Argentina: Government/Sovereign debt in USD, with jurisdiction in New York!Greece: Government/Sovereign debt in Euro, with jurisdiction in Brussels!Iceland: External financial debt → nationalized into Government/Sovereign debt in USD and Euro alone was 700%+ GDP in 2008, with jurisdiction in New York and Brussels.
然后你看看那些因债务问题毁掉的经济体:
阿根廷:政府/主权债务以美元形式结算,其裁判权在纽约!希腊:政府/主权债务以欧元方式结算,其裁判权在布鲁塞尔!冰岛:外部金融债务→债务国有化后2008年政府/主权债务以美元和欧元的形式达到GDP的700%,其裁判权在纽约和布鲁塞尔
Then you look at China, with her debt almost entirely internal, in Chinese RMB to Chinese citizens, government debt at 55%, lower than the US, Japan, and EU average, in her own currency. China’s external debt is about 9% of GDP, globally ranked 184th (less than North Korea, similar to Kosovo) - anyway you look at it, it’s hardly the kind of material to make a banking crisis. China is borrowing a little bit from her own piggy bank. Argentina/Greece/Iceland were borrowing a lot from the Mafia.
然后你看看中国,中国的债务基本都是内部以人民币结算的。中国政府债务只占总债务的55%,比美国,日本和欧盟都要低,再次强调,其债务以人民币结算。中国外部债务只占GDP的9%,全球排行184位(比朝鲜低,比科索沃高)。无论怎么看,你都不会看到中国有任何银行危机的迹象。中国只是向其国内贪心的银行借钱。阿根廷/希腊/冰岛可是像美国欧盟这些黑手党借钱。
PS: The most significant increase in China’s debt is in the financial sector, driven by rising real estate price (which means higher value of housing loans). Right now, the Chinese government is basically using it as a tool to do macro-economic engineering. The goal is to cap urban growth in top tier cities (Beijing, Shanghai, etc.) and push the economic growth to second- and third- tier cities (Hangzhou, the city that just hosted G20, is an example.http://www.g20.org/English/Hangzhou/About/index.html Now you can look back and see why the Chinese government decided to host G20 in a city nobody has ever heard of). This is clearly stated by the Chinese government like 100 times since last year in the official news channels. The reason? Top tier Chinese cities like Shanghai (25 million) already have more city residents than the whole nation of Australia! The metropolitan area of Shanghai (44 million) has more people than the entire population of Canada! In one city! Beijing’s population grew by 8 million within the last decade! The place is simply full.List of cities in China by population and built-up area
PS: 中国最显著的债务增长是在其金融领域内不断升高的房价造成的(不断增高的房贷造成债务问题)。现在中国政府正在利用房价作为宏观经济调控的工具。其目的是限制一线城市的城市化进程和加速二三线城市的发展(刚刚举办了G20的杭州就是个例子,现在你就能知道为啥中国政府将G20放在一个没人听说过的城市举行了)。这些政策中国政府已经在官媒上宣布了无数次。原因就是一线城市,例如上海(2500万人口),其居民数量比阿根廷全国人口还要多!上海都市圈(4400万人口)的人口数量比加拿大全国还要多!北京人口数量在过去的10年内增长了800万!这些城市的人口数量已经饱和了。
In addition to real estate prices, the Chinese government is also doing stuff like restricting residents permits, disallowing second or third homes, even restricting jobs to local residents, everything to say “this place is full. We have these other nice choices, with lower housing prices. Go there.” Young people complaining about housing prices in tier-one cities? But that’s the whole point. The debt you have to take on to live in tier-one cities SHOULD SCARE YOU OFF. The Chinese government is trying to stop the influx of people pouring into tier-one cities, and get these smart and energetic youths to go build two, three, four, five. … more Shanghai’s in other parts of China. 1.4 billion people can’t all fit into tier-one cities.
除了以房地产为手段,中国政府也加强控制了居住证的发放,禁止第二/三套房买入甚至对本地居民的工作种类进行限制,这些都是为了表达一个意思:这些地方都人满为患了。二三线城市有更低的房价和更好的生活条件,快点去那里吧!年轻人都在抱怨一线城市的高房价?但这就是中国政府想要的。你在一线城市生存需要的代价会把你吓退。中国政府正在尝试控制一线城市的人口流入而让有技术和充满活力的年轻人去建设二三四五线城市——让更多的上海出现在国家的其他地方。14亿人口是没可能全部都聚集在一线城市的。
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Paul Denlinger, Involved in China economics study
Written Sep 27


There is too much debt, and a lot of it is likely to turn into bad debt, but that does not equal a banking crisis.
是因为中国贷款太多了,而这些贷款大多数会变成不良贷款,但这些都不等银行危机
Banking crisis may be a nice term to bandy around and get clicks and headlines, but does not really explain what is going on.
银行危机或许是一个十分吸引眼球的头条,但是根本就不能解释实际的情况
There was a lot of debt financing, especially after the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis in the US. In order to keep the economy on a steady keel, the Chinese government, through its banks, pumped money to Chinese state-owned enterprises, in order to keep high employment and maintain an image of “growth”. A lot of this money then found its way into the underground banking system through “wealth management products” and other means. A lot of this has turned into bad debt.
中国政府有过很多次债务融资,特别是08年美国次贷危机之后。为了稳住经济增长,中国政府通过银行将大量人民币注入到国企内以维持就业率和高增长的形象。但这些钱最终大都以理财产品和其他形式流进了地下钱庄。这些大部分都变成了不良贷款。
Another problem area, which frequently overlaps with the “wealth management products” is the local government financing vehicle used to fund local property development, which I have discussed here: Paul Denlinger's answer to Why does China have so many ghost towns?
另一个有问题的领域,和“理财产品”有莫大关联的,就是地方政府为当地基础建设所采用的金融工具(我在这个地方有详细的分析:https://www.quora.com/Why-does-China-have-so-many-ghost-towns/answePaul-Denlinger?srid=tR&share=22b99cfc
What is likely to happen in China is that growth will slow down in some areas, while there will be certain newer parts of the economy which will continue to grow. If the Chinese government is able to support the newer parts of the economy and help them to grow, while cutting back on loans to the weaker parts of the economy, it may be able to handle this transition better.
最可能发生的情况就是中国的经济增长将会放缓,但是肯定会用新的增站点。如果中国政府能支持新的增长点而且能减低夕阳工业的不良贷款率,那么或许能更好地度过过渡期。
This is exactly what the Chinese government is trying to do and you can read about it here:Here is how China is going to quietly save its economy
这些正是中国政府正在尝试去做的,你可以读读这个文章了解一下:http://www.scmp.com/news/china/economy/article/2022491/china-deploys-policy-banks-stealth-mission-stimulate-growth
So, if you are expecting there to be a dramatic run on the banks, and the Chinese people to take to the streets and overthrow the Chinese Communist Party, and become a full-blown democracy like Taiwan, Japan or South Korea, you are very likely to be disappointed.
所以,如果你是期待一次强烈的bank run(自行百度啥是bank run),然后中国人民上街推翻TG,中国大陆变成与台湾,日本韩国一样的政体,那么你要失望了。
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Nikhil Ambhorkar, Self studied Finance.
Written Sep 26


Is China facing a Banking crisis?
中国是在面临一个银行危机吗?
Yes.

Is it facing a full blown Banking crisis?
中国正在面临一个全面性的银行危机吗?
No.

Combined debt of China is almost 300% of its GDP. But the the categorized in 4 parts as it is shown in the image with the question too.
中国的总债务大概是GDP的300%。但是分在了如图所示的4个领域内。
The corporate debt has the lion's portion of the total debt. The household debt and non corporate debt are nothing to worry about because it is less many other developed countries and has some room to grow.
公司债务在总债务中占了大头。个人债务和非公司债务根本没啥可担心的因为这些比大多数发达国家还要低所以还有增长的空间。
Government Debt is not too big when compared to standards set by many global institutions like IMF, World Bank, etc.
政府债务以多数国际组织,例如世行和IMF,设定得标准来看其实不高。
The only major concern which is of a serious magnitude is the corporate debt. This is also reiterated by many economists.
最主要的关注点就是公司债务了。许多经济学家都重申了这点无数次了。
Now the problem with China is that data that comes out of major Chinese institutions is murky so their are many different types of estimates by many different institutions but the common theme in it is corporate debt and its size.
中国最大的问题就是中国国内组织公布的数据来源不清晰所以不同的国际组织对中国经济的实际情况估算会不一样。但所有组织最关心的都是中国的公司债务与其规模。
Corporate debt consists of debt owned by state owned corporations and private corporations. Private corporations in China are generally crowded out by the state owned corporations because of connections and political agenda.
公司债务又分成了国企和私企的债务。中国私企大多数收到国企排挤,这是有政体造成的。
Many state owned corporations have invested into unproductive projects as a result of excess boost given by government after 2008 to prop up the economy. This has resulted in a huge amount of NPAs. So, in all the major problem is state owned corporations piling up huge amount of debt. To solve this problem, the government tried to convert the debt into shares which the bank owns and can recover money through profit dividends but this was one of the causes for last year's stock market crash.
在08年过度的经济刺激政策下,很多国企在许多无效益项目上投了许多钱。这造成了大量的无效能资产。所以,最大的问题是国企堆积了大量债务。为了解决这个问题,政府正在尝试将国企的债务转化为股份,那么银行就能将债务转化为红利而最终将债务收回了。但这造成了上年的股灾.....
Hence, it is a big crisis but not the one government cannot handle with so much trade surplus and forex reserves. But actions are definitely needed to stop it from growing into a bigger problem.
所以,这是一个危机但仍然是政府能控制的,毕竟中国政府有大量贸易顺差和外汇储备。但是仍然需要实际行动来防止事态的扩展。
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